Polymer Materials for Radioactive Waste Containment Within 12-14 Years
Prediction Made: 1990 Year Predicted: 2004
In 'Blueprint for Change,' Bashar predicted that within 12-14 years, polymer or plastic materials would exist that could molecularly bond with residue from toxic waste, specifically radioactivity, creating a containment or absorption process that would prevent radioactivity from passing beyond the barrier.
Probability
The text says these polymers 'may exist' within 12-14 years, so the estimate is treated as probable but not certain.
Evidence
I verified this URL renders the quoted passage about polymers, radioactivity, and the 12-14 year window. Partial: polymer immobilization of radioactive waste is a real technical field, and IAEA materials describe polymer-based immobilization as a way to obtain stable waste forms. However, this is containment and waste-form stabilization, not the stronger claimed outcome where radioactivity no longer passes beyond the barrier at scale.
Sources
- Internet Archive OCR text - Bashar: Blueprint for Change 1990 · Third-party
- IAEA - Immobilization of Low and Intermediate Level Radioactive Wastes With Polymers 1988 · Official
Disclaimer — Bashar emphasizes that all predictions are probabilities, not certainties. Reality creation and parallel timelines mean individual and collective choices continuously shift outcomes. The 'accuracy' of any prediction must be understood within this framework.